Dear Shareholders,
In 2017, the Greek economy came out of the eight-year recession, with growth rising to + 1.4% of GDP, compared with -0.2% in 2016. The implementation of structural reforms provided a strong base for the recovery of the country's growth dynamics and helped to re-attract investment, which during 2017 increased by 15%. Through the structural changes that are currently underway, Greece is heading for a gradual normalization of its access to the international capital markets, while the potential of the economy is promising, especially if combined with the expected debt relief decisions and of a more investment friendly tax policy.
As far as the international environment is concerned, international crude prices recovered in the second half of 2017 - from $53 to $65/bbl for Brent at the end of the year - as a result of OPEC and Russia’s policy to cut production and the subsequent inventory reduction in OECD countries. At the same time, global demand remained strong and according to the International Energy Agency (IEA) settled at 97.8 mbpd in 2017 and is expected to exceed 99 mbpd in 2018. While uncertainties about long-term developments in the oil industry continue, reputable organizations and leading companies in the industry (e.g. BP, ExxonMobil) argue that strong demand will continue at least until the next decade.
The evolution of the euro/US dollar exchange rate from $1.03 to $1.20 at the end of 2017 reflects the monetary policy as well as the political developments in Europe and North America. It is indicative that dollar dropped 9.8% in 2017, the worst performance since 2003, while at the same time the euro recorded its strongest performance against the US currency in 14 years, an evolution that adversely affected European refining companies.